Had a general election taken place in January, it would have been won by the opposition Voice-SD party with 24.3% of the vote, according to a poll conducted by the Focus agency. Governing party Freedom and Solidarity (SaS) would be second with 13.3% of the vote, ahead of the major governing Ordinary People party with 10.1%, the opposition far-right People's Party Our Slovakia with 9.7%, and opposition party Smer-SD at 9.1%. The last two parties to make it into the house would have been the non-parliamentary Progressive Slovakia with 5.2% and junior governing party We Are Family with 5.1%, both of whom would have barely made it into Parliament.
Meanwhile, the parties left outside Parliament would have included the non-parliamentary Christian Democrats (KDH, 4.4%), the junior coalition For the People party (4.2%), the ethnic-Hungarian Coalition Party with 3.3%, the Slovak National Party (SNS) with 2.8%, Homeland at 2.4%, Good choice at 2.1%, Most-Hid at 2% and Together with 1%.
When converted into seats in the 150-member House, Voice-SD would have gained 47, SaS - 26, Ordinary People - 20, People's Party Our Slovakia - 19; Smer-SD - 18, and Progressive Slovakia and We Are Family - 10 each.
According to the results of the poll, the three opposition parties (Voice-SD, Smer-SD and the far right People's Party Our Slovakia) would have earned 85 seats in the 150 seat house. Moreover, the poll has confirmed the prediction of sociologist Martin Slosiarik. At the beginning of January, he said that the opposition party Voice-SD would be likely to gain popularity from the pandemic situation.
The poll was carried out between January 13-19 on a sample of 1,005 respondents.